Disaste! A large Canadian vessel explodes within the Russian EEZ releasing significant proportions of methane into the sea and atmosphere.
Canada triggers NATOs Treaty Article 5 clause calling all NATO members to its defence.
Finland and Norway compulsorily evacuate their Arctic Coast towns to prepare for a tidal wave from melting ice to avoid humanitarian catastrophe.
No action: there are no adverse consequences at least in the short term.
Table cannot agree.