A
Initiative
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NATO Strategy Simulation Brief
Results
As a result of your actions China has announced a new Belt and Road Initiative.
Round Three
NATO Strategy Simulation Brief
CHINA’S NEW ARCTIC BRI UNVEILED
China announces BRI Arctic, extending into Russia and assisting Finland and Norway with infrastructure.
BRI Arctic to transform the NSR into a major shipping lane, challenging the Suez Canal, with Russia offering toll-free passage to Chinese ships.
Environmental concerns arise with potential 0.05% global temperature increase and $2.2 trillion climate impact over 30 years.
President Putin predicts 80m tonnes of cargo through the NSR next year.
Finland supports the initiative for more secure trade routes post-Ukraine conflict.
Global Trade Impact: Arctic development signals shifting trade dynamics and geopolitical alliances.
Considerations
How significant a shift in the geopolitical and geoeconomics landscape is this? Can we be at all confident that this is just about economics? How has China reacted to Taiwan – is it tightening its grip?
How will Russia react to increased Chinese influence in Central Asia – countries which were formerly part of the Soviet Union for example?
What is the likely impact on the climate – is this more important than the political and economic considerations? What would happen to the ecosystem in the Arctic and the speed at which icecaps are melting?
What security risks to NATO members security infrastructure – interconnectors and gas pipelines from a development like this? (data, cyber and energy security as well as energy pipelines)
Economic Levers
One: Economic:
Should NATO block China’s financial system access, including SWIFT and backing for firms using the Arctic route?
Two: Defence and security Lever:
Should NATO members tighten military and cyber security in the Arctic Circle, Baltics and North Sea and send military support to the Taiwan Strait?
Three: Diplomatic Lever:
Should NATO withdraw Finland’s accession to the organisation and expel Norway?