This game is based on fact: while we do not yet have CBDCs. 75% of the events in this game are already happening. Are you prepared?

Digital Currency Domination in Trade Finance:

“The U.S. has developed a digital dollar to compete with China’s digital renminbi, with both currencies now dominating global trade finance.”

While both the U.S. and China are exploring central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), neither country has fully implemented a digital currency that dominates global trade finance. The concept of a digital dollar and digital renminbi affecting global trade to such an extent is not out of the question.

Likelihood: Fairly likely next five years

Cyber Attacks on Digital Ports

“Major digital ports around the world have been hacked, pushing trade through the Northern Sea Route.”

Cybersecurity threats to major infrastructure, including ports, are a real and present concern. However, given increasing cyber threats, the specific scenario of a coordinated attack to reroute global trade via the Northern Sea Route is plausible.

Likelihood: Extremely likely in the next five years

 

Solid State Battery Investment Conflict

“U.S. and China compete in investments in solid-state battery technology, affecting currency valuations.”

The U.S. and China are indeed racing to dominate new technology sectors like solid-state batteries.While this rivalry influences broader economic strategies, its direct effect on digital currency valuations remains a matter of ongoing importance.

Likelihood: Likely next five years

Climate Impact from Northern Sea Route Traffic

“Increased traffic through the Northern Sea Route has led to significant environmental impacts, including accelerated melting of Arctic ice.”

Increased traffic through the Northern Sea Route, accelerated by melting ice, poses significant environmental risks. While attributing these consequences directly to recent events like port closures from cyber-attacks involves some conjecture, the potential for such scenarios is becoming increasingly plausible due to ongoing climate changes.

Likelihood: Very likely in the next five years

Further reading

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Initiative

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